Singapore research about coronavirus: A study by a group of Singapore researchers has anticipated that the COVID-19 worldwide pandemic will end by this December.
Worldwide, more than 3 million people have been suffering from this virus, with the death of 0.2 million.
There is an enormous uneasiness about the eventual fate of the pandemic, particularly as most nations are under lockdowns that have carried the worldwide economy to a stop.
The significant levels of vulnerability about the pandemic inspired Singapore-based Prof. Jianxi Luo and his group to address the inquiry: When will the COVID-19 end?
Prof. Jianxi Luo, director of the Data-Driven Innovation Lab
Director of the Data-Driven Innovation Lab, Prof. Luo said that the predictions had been purely driven by personal curiosity regarding when Coronavirus (COVID-19) would end in Singapore, where he lived, and other countries.
Singapore research about coronavirus: He also said that estimating the end dates had been subconscious for most people as it was mentally needed and an essential part of planning during the pandemic. But even naturally challenging to be done well due to the uncertainty of the future.
He and his team made an infected-recovered model through complex mathematical models; for this, they use the open-source codes from Milan Batista. And also, use data from Our World in Data to estimate the pandemic life cycle curves and predict when the COVID-19 might end in the world and respective countries.
In which they used the life cycle of the virus for 131 countries and uploaded on the Data-Driven Innovation Lab webpage, which is launched on April 18.
They daily update the data and show the infection point using a bell-curve graph for visualization. The virus is started in China, and it is expected it end in countries such as Qatar and Bahrain by next February.
How they made the Data-Driven Approach?
Luo said that the evolution of coronavirus (COVID-19) was not completely random. In fact, it was made possible by the existing knowledge of past pandemic.
Singapore research about coronavirus: He added that behavioral factors, such as people follow the social distance, avoiding the physical contact, and the lockdown of the government in high-risk cities.
There are also many other factors, such as the natural limitation of the ecosystem, that contributed a part in learning the pandemic life cycle.
However, this could vary from one nation to another, and different countries have different life cycles.
Singapore researchers use the study of “predictive monitoring” to assess the data. If we use this study properly, we can reduce anxiety and prepare us for the next phases of the pandemic evolution.
The Limitation of the Study
The study has its limitations as we do not know the evolving nature of the pandemic, and nobody predicts the outbreak of the virus.
Singapore research about COVID-19 around the World
The Singapore University of Technology and Design has predicted coronavirus will end around the world on November 26 through mathematical modeling.
Estimated End Dates: 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} in 29/5/2020, 99{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} in 15/6/2020, 100{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} in 26/11/2020
Prediction for China
The research predicted that the virus ends 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} on February 26 and completely ends on April 8, 2020. The number of new cases has already reached its lowest state.
Prediction for the United States
According to the study, it ends around May 14, 2020, by 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} and May 26, 2020, by 99{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} and completely ends on September 4. If we follow the graph of the United States, then it already has reached its highest value now it should decrease.
Prediction for Singapore
According to the study, the pandemic ends 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} around May 24 and completely ends from Singapore by 100{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} on July 15, 2020. If we follow the graph of Singapore, then until now, it has not reached its highest value.
Prediction for Italy
According to research, the virus in Italy has reached its lowest point, and small pain is required. The virus will end on May 8, by 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5}, and it will completely end on 29 August from Italy.
Prediction for Iran
In Iran, the virus has also reached its lowest level. The virus will end 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} on May 20 and completely end on 23 October 2020. The highest case record in Iran in one day is more than 5000. Recently Iran only received less than 1000 new cases.
Prediction for India
If we follow the pattern, then it is an alarm situation for India because it has reached its highest value. According to research, the virus will end on May 24, 2020, by 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5}, and it will end on 31 July from India.
Prediction for Pakistan
As per research, in Pakistan, the virus has been reaching its highest level. But at the same time, in a very short period, it will end. According to research, it will end on June 14 by 97{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} and reached 99{7d6bb1f761e691f027164c9fe6d1ebbc4659a250013ce39dc45a15ede39dbac5} on June 28. And finally, it will completely end on September 11.
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