As time passes, the United States seems more likely to be on the cusp of the terrible fourth wave of COVID-19 infection, even if the percentage of fully vaccinated Americans approaches 50%. “Canada’s Delta 4th wave of COVID-19 will be ‘different’ amid vaccinations” experts.
In the earlier period, the regular number of new cases per day has added than twice. This rush to the fore is a chilling knick-knack of the second and first summer waves. The frontiers of the three waves and the drop of 2020.
Even at the worst of last winter:
The coronavirus pandemic has never hit the United States uniformly.
Instead, it wandered from eruptions in specific urban areas to suburbs and rural counties, and then came back, like a continuous hurricane.
Now, as the gap between states’ completed vaccination rates widens—only 33.7% of residents in Alabama have been vaccinated, compared to nearly 70% in Vermont. The per capita incidence of new cases has clustered in a few Regions, most adults in these areas still exist even if the reopening continues quickly, and they have not been vaccinated.
The current COVID-19 wave crested:
The current wave crest is more like a torrent, with tidal surging flooding more than a few hot spots, and the rest of the nation-state still happily doesn’t know (or don’t want to admit) that the deadly disease is far from in excess of. The result is that local data, rather than state or nationwide data, now paints the most accurate picture of the current state of the outbreak. Said by chief epidemiologist of the Johns Hopkins University:
“The state extensive case does not report to the entire story. We need a finer comb,” said Jennifer Nuzzo, the chief epidemiologist of the Johns Hopkins University Testing Insights Program.
As Nuzzo points out, the recently recorded outbreaks are more concentrated in rural areas than the worst peaks in the past 16 months (although the virus has not been let go in any corner of the country).
It seems to be different now, even in more rural areas where the current highly concentrated outbreaks are in full bloom. Especially on the border between Arkansas and Missouri and northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia.
However, any such observation is accompanied by the same warning that we have tried to convey on Numbers Beat from the beginning. The number of cases depends on the number of people tested for the virus, and this number can only underestimate the true situation, not an exaggeration.
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