Welcome to this talk. the Prime Minister in the UK has just declared basically an Omega state of emergency. There’s going to be problems here. So what this means is the Omega variant is going to be going everywhere in England and the other parts of the UK.?
We already know about, as we’ve been saying on this channel for some time now, if you’re in the States, the same is going to apply.
They’re just going to be a slightly longer delay. Basically, this variant is going around the world. everyone in the world is going to be exposed to it. And that’s what’s going to happen now, before we look at what the Prime Minister said, let’s look at what he didn’t say.
He didn’t say that everyone should get ready and optimize their immune system by taking 15 milligrams of zinc a day as an adult dose as a minimum dose for everyone to take.
He didn’t say that everyone should be taking at least an absolute minimum of 4000 international units of vitamin D a day. That’s 100 micrograms of vitamin D a day. He didn’t say those things.
So I can’t say it because he didn’t say it. But he didn’t say those things. But let’s look at what he did say before we do that.
Let’s just look at South Africa.
So this is Ward current. South Africa has got a population of 60 million people. So here we see the number of patients in hospital with Omicron diagnosis five point 56, basically just over five and a half thousand.
Now, remember, these are people who have been diagnosed with Omicron in hospital. Not necessarily. In fact, the majority did not go to hospital for Omicron. There were incidental findings.
Remember, this is in a population of 60 million people. So we want that one. So five and a half thousand people in hospital in general care awards 4733 intensive care, 405 high care 425. So you might think that’s relatively low numbers for a population of 60 million.
I certainly do think that’s low numbers when we go on and look at the level of interventions for currently admitted patients.
Remember, these are patients that have got Omicron positive diagnosis. Positive tests currently in hospital, 151 are currently ventilated out of a population of 60 million people and 782 people who have been diagnosed positive for Omicron, whether they’re admitted for a omicron or not, are currently receiving oxygen.
And you might think that they are remarkably low numbers. I certainly think they are remarkably low numbers.
Now, of course, we can’t directly compare the situation in South Africa, the situation in the States or the UK. There are differences.
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The main differences are these younger demographic in South Africa, certainly. So that’s going to be a big factor in South Africa’s favor the next big difference between South Africa. And let’s say England, for example, although the United States and Canada will be fairly similar.
But the big difference is that there’s a lot of immunity in the United Kingdom in England, say, but a lot of that is vaccine induced, whereas most of the immunity in South Africa is natural infection induced.
This is the big difference.
This is why we might be worse off in England because most of the immunity that we have comes from vaccines, whereas most of the immunity in South Africa is from the incredibly prolific three previous waves have had and many people, most people that are immune have levels of immunity rather than South Africa.
It’s from natural infection. So they’re the two big differences, and they are pretty big provisos. Really.
Let’s go on and see what the Prime Minister said.
No one should be in any doubt there’s a tidal wave of Omicron coming. So as we’ve been saying for some time, It’s now clear that two doses of vaccine are simply not enough to give the level of protection we all need so very much going down the vaccine route, as I say, no mention of zinc, no mention of vitamin D.
Unfortunately, if you watch yesterday’s video with Dr. Cohen, you’ll realize why I’m stressing this now might want to flick back and watch that very illuminating video.
But the good news is that our scientists are confident that with a third dose, a booster dose, we can all bring our levels of protection back up.
So Prime Minister is saying we all need a third dose.
At this point, our scientists cannot say that Omicron is less severe.
Well, if that’s what our scientists are saying.
We’ve just looked at the South Africa data that shows that 782 people are currently being oxygenated in South Africa, a very low percentage compared to the 100% that needed ventilated, not ventilated oxygenated in previous waves.
Thankfully, nothing like that. Many needed ventilated. But virtually everyone in previous waves are on oxygen.
Now, relatively small numbers are on oxygen, which I find encouraging.
But let’s stick with the Prime Minister wave of Omicron through a population that was not boosted would risk a level of hospitalization that could overwhelm our NHS sadly, lead to very many deaths.
So clearly his scientists and doctors have advised him about this. So this is what he’s saying.
Therefore, anyone aged over 18 in England, they can get a third booster dose from this week, providing it’s at least three months since their second dose.
So I waited six months from my booster dose. But now, as a result of this emergency situation, it’s been reduced to three months, and the data is showing a third booster dose prevents around 75% of people getting any symptomatic infection with Omega.
So we know that the boosted dose is going to have this big effect. So 25% of people have been vaccinated. If they’re exposed to the virus, could get symptomatic disease, hopefully or minimal disease, and 75% shouldn’t get any so pretty convincing data there to be fair.
But we also know there’s pretty convincing data from vitamin D and zinc, which wasn’t mentioned and would work against a range of viruses.
Nadeem Sahar was speaking on BBC this morning.
Omega cases have now been found in hospital in the UK.
He did not say where.
He did not say how many.
He did not say what comorbidities they had.
He did not say whether they’ve been vaccinated or not.
He didn’t say if they were sick or not.
He actually said Omega cases have been found in hospital. So we can assume I guess there’s at least two, but we don’t know.
Even it was just half as severe as Delta. It would cause extreme pressure on the health service. The data from South Africa is looking like it’s maybe nearer 10% compared to 50%, about 10% as bad.
But we don’t know that yet.
And Boris Johnson scientists at this time, our scientists cannot say that Omicron is less severe. So that is the current official position.
So that’s what I report to you now.
Quite a bit as this comes from this paper here. Saska virus, two variants of concern and variance under investigation in England. Technical briefing 31 came out a couple of days ago.
Uk Health Security Agency cut off date for this day was the 6 December, so it’s already six days out of date, but they covered 260 confirmed cases of Omega variant identified through sequencing and genotyping.
So this is good diagnosis. Additional possible cases identified through the S. Jean target failure, which we believe is also characteristic of Omega high risk of transmission from secondary attack rates was identified.
So the secondary attack rates are whether someone is likely to pass it on to their contacts.
Now the risk of household transmission from an Omen index case compared to Delta was 3.3 times more likely to pass it on to other members of the household.
Quite significant risk of a close contact. They were more than twice as likely have become infected compared to Delta. So we do see that this is significantly more infectious than Delta household secondary attack rate.
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